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    Investing

    June 03, 2008

    Forbes: In Depth: How To Cut Costs Without Cramping Style

    Forbes_home_logo


    Whether you believe we are in a recession or not, here is a timely article from Forbes that addresses something all of us are interested in during tighter times...how to cut costs while still living well...


    Plan, Plan, Plan

    Manisha Thakor and Sharon Kedar, co-authors of On My Own Two Feet: A Modern Girl's Guide to Finance, suggest dividing your income into four categories: taxes (about 25% of total income, on average, savings (15%), necessities (45%) and wants (15%). Pay off debts with an interest rate above 7% and pay more than the monthly minimum. Knowing your financial situation makes it easier to see what you're working with and where to make the necessary cuts later.

    Become A Craftier Consumer

    Clip coupons, buy in bulk and go with store brands. Finding the best deals at the grocery store can save an average American family of four over $700 annually. Also, get yourself a PayPal account and shop online. With an endless number of merchants hocking their virtual wares, searching based just on price returns some good deals. If you're patient, you could save a bundle in the long run.

    Get Better Gas Mileage

    Ease up behind the wheel. Less-aggressive drivers use considerably less gas than their lead-footed counterparts. And experts say faster isn't always better. "In most traffic situations, accelerating isn't going to get you there any faster," says Philip Reed, consumer advice editor for auto site Edmunds.com. Also, take off the roof rack when you're not using it, since this can boost your car's fuel efficiency by as much as six miles per gallon. You can get an additional boost by regularly maintaining your vehicle with tune-ups, oil changes and tire rotation.

    Squeeze The Most Out Of Your Utilities

    Putting a half-gallon, sand-filled milk jug in your toilet tank saves that much every flush. For an average American family, that's 20 gallons of water a day. Low-flow fixtures use less than half as much water, but do cost more for the initial investment. Also, replacing standard light bulbs with compact fluorescent light bulbs in your home can save $30 a month.

    Get Cheaper Entertainment

    Most museums have a free or discount day for their general exhibitions. Also check out nearby college campuses for movies and arts performances, such as plays and symphonies. And if you do feel the need to eat out, do it on a weeknight, since many restaurants and bars slash prices during the week to draw in as much business as they can.

    Look For Luxury On The Cheap

    Find a massage school in your area, rather than a high-end spa. Some schools offer rates as low as $10 an hour. If you want a luxury car, get a used one: a one- or two-year-old car will have lost much of its resale value by then, but will still be ahead of its class in amenities. When it comes to clothes, look for last year's line in designer wear, which is usually heavily discounted to make way for the new season.

    Eat Right, Exercise, Drink Lightly And Avoid Smoking

    All these things help you save money in the long term. A major ailment like cancer or heart disease can take a devastating toll on those who aren't prepared financially. The best method for saving on long-term health care is prevention.

    April 21, 2008

    Excerpts from the May 2008 Issue of Money Magazine

    Cnnmoney_logo2_0_2Reading through this month's edition of Money Magazine today, here are some highlights of interest....

    Life in the Time of Inflation: "Have you seen the price of milk lately? It's up 13% since last year. The pain isn't only at the supermarket, however. Hospital costs are up 8%; gas, 33%; and prices overall climbed 4% (vs. less than 3% annually over the past decade.

    How I'm Coping with a Scary Market: "I've boosted my savings. I've bumped up my 529 contributions and am putting a little extra toward my mortgage every month. Now despite the stock market's slide, my college savings accounts are still heading up...."

    Are Your Assets Really All That Safe? "The best way to protect yourself: Stick to bond funds with intermediate maturities of, say, five to eight years. ...Intermediate-term bonds typically pay most of the return of longer-term issues with far less volatility. You can create your own portfolio of high-quality intermediate term funds by culling selections from MONEY 70, our recommended list of mutual funds....

    ...Lesson: When it comes to your cash investments--the ones you can't take chances with--limit yourself to secure options like short-term FDIC-insured CDs and money funds. True, money funds don't guarantee you against losses. But if you stick to funds issued by firms with solid reputations, your chances of experiencing any losses are minimal."

    Yes, You Can Find a Safe High Yield: "If you're in search of a safe parking spot for your cash, don't overlook tax-exempt money-market funds. The yields on such funds have dropped in recent months but relative to other safe places to put your cash (under your mattress included), the payouts are higher than at any time in recent memory. If you're in the 28% bracket, the 2.36% yield you earn on the average tax-exempt money fund is the equivalent of collecting 3.28% in a taxable fund. That's well above today's 2.65% average yield on taxable money funds.

    "We're in a very slow, lousy economy. It doesn't feel good. We won't have a V-shaped recovery. Companies won't get credit they need. People with slightly imperfect credit won't be able to buy a house. One scenario has it that there will be a big bounce in the second half of the year because of the tax rebate. I am skeptical. 2008 will not be a super year."
    -Burton Malkiel, Professor of economics, Princeton University and author of A Random Walk Down Wall Street

    "You should be buying municipal bonds. They are yielding more than treasuries (3.02% tax-free vs 2.75% for five-year maturities). That rarely occurs."
    -Mark Kiesel, Portfolio manager, Pimco

    August 17, 2007

    An Interview with Warren Buffett...

    Buffett1

    There was a one hour interview on CNBC with Warren Buffet, the second richest man who has donated $31 billion to charity. Here are some very interesting aspects of his life:

    1. He bought his first share of stock at age 11 and he now regrets that he started too late!

    2. He bought a small farm at age 14 with savings from delivering newspapers.

    3. He still lives in the same, small 3-bedroom house in midtown Omaha that he bought after he got married 50 years ago. He says that he has everything he needs in that house. His house does not have a wall or a fence.

    4. He drives his own car everywhere and does not have a driver or security people around him.

    5. He never travels by private jet, although he owns the world's largest private jet company.

    6. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, owns 63 companies. He writes only one letter each year to the CEOs of these companies, giving them goals for the year. He never holds meetings or calls them on a regular basis. He has given his CEO's only two rules:

    Rule number 1: Do not lose any of your shareholder's money.
    Rule number 2: Do not forget rule number 1.

    7. He does not socialize with the high society crowd. His pastime after he gets home is to make himself some popcorn and watch television.

    8. Bill Gates, the world's richest man, met him for the first time only 5 years ago. Bill Gates did not think he had anything in common with Warren Buffet. So, he had scheduled his meeting only for half hour. But when Gates met him, the meeting lasted for ten hours and Bill Gates became a devotee of Warren Buffet.

    9. Warren Buffet does not carry a cell phone, nor has a computer on his desk.

    His advice to young people: 'Stay away from credit cards and invest in yourself and remember:

    A. Money doesn't create man, but it is the man who created money.
    B. Live your life as simple as you are.
    C. Don't do what others say. Just listen to them, but do what makes you feel good.
    D. Don't go on brand name. Wear those things in which you feel comfortable.
    E. Don't waste your money on unnecessary things. Spend on those who really are in need.
    F. After all, it's your life. Why give others the chance to rule your life?

    June 04, 2007

    Income for Life...

    Johnny_appleseed_1972_post_card_2

    Fortune_logo_blue_1Insurers are pushing a new kind of variable annuity as a source for steady payments. But watch out for those fees.
    way to create a lifetime income that keeps pace with inflation while allowing you access to your savings for emergencies.

    Simply put a portion of your nest egg in a traditional income annuity that pays a guaranteed monthly income for life based on your age. Then invest the rest in a mix of low-cost stock and bond funds that you can tap for the rest of your annual income plus any extra cash you may require.

    True, only the annuity portion of your income is guaranteed. But since the expenses in a well-chosen fund portfolio are so much lower than what insurers charge, your chances of running through your fund assets are slim.

    Your fund portfolio is also more likely to grow, giving you higher income down the road. So if you're in or nearing retirement, take the gorilla's advice and consider putting money into an annuity.

    Just make sure it's not a high-priced fake.

    Here is the link to the original article

    March 10, 2007

    The Coming Economic Collapse, by Stephen Leeb, PhD

    Stephen_leebOccasionally an investment book comes along that is not replete with gimmicks; but instead offers cogent insights gathered from careful and knowledgeable analysis of markets, corporate infrastructure, and global energy trends. Dr. Stephen Leeb's The Coming Economic Collapse: How to Thrive When Oil Costs $200 a Barrel is one of those rare books (as was his first book, The Oil Factor). Dr. Leeb's prevailing thesis is that the United States is on the most dangerous economic precipice in its history. As the economies of China and India expand at record rates, pushing oil demand beyond production capacity, permanent energy shortfalls will result. Anticipating and planning for this crisis, Leeb says, will make all the difference....

    Five_star_rating_2 My Strongest Recommendation.


    Here are some excerpts from his excellent book:


    The_coming_economic_collapseThe Coming Economic Collapse: How to Thrive When Oil Costs $200 a Barrel

    The Only Bonds Worth Owning from Now On

    One type of bond that is worth holding as inflation rises is Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). Unlike with most bonds, the value of TIPS is protected from rising inflation. The principal and interest payments on TIPS automatically increase or decrease according to the inflation rate. The higher the inflation rate, the higher the payments. TIPS also have a built-in protection against deflation. You are guaranteed to get back your principal on maturity.

    If you want steady income over the coming years, you can buy TIPS directly from the U.S. Treasury at auction four times a year (January, April, July, and October). Keep in mind that as the consumer price index rises your principal expands, and you will be taxed on the increase.

    Another option is to buy units in a TIPS mutual fund, such as the Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund.

    Eventualy, we hope the coming wave of inflation wil peak, just as it did in the early 1980s. That will be the time to buy long-term bonds heavily, when interest rates on bonds are beginning to fal. But until then avoid all bonds but TIPS.

    Gold and Gold Shares

    Gold has always been a hedge against inflation, because the federal government cannot increase the nation's supply of gold at whim, the way it can paper or electronic dollars. So as the value of dollars declines, the price of gold rises.

    ...God will regain popularity once people recognize that inflation is on the move. ...gold today would have to trade at about $2,800 to be on a par with its relative value to stocks in 1980. This would be equal to a sevenfold gain.

    ...today, a new option has become available for those who want to own bullion: exchange-traded funds (ETFs). For example, one of our favorites is the streetTRACKS Gold Trust (GLD), which invests in actual gold. ...each Gold Trust share represents one-tenth of an ounce of gold, less the trust's modest expenses of just 0.4 percent annually. The trust is not actively managed so its expenses should remain very low....

    Today, the best-known major oil companies are British Petroleum (BP), Chevron (CVX), ExxonMobil (XOM), and Roya Dutch Petroleum (RDPL)> They are huge corporations that engage in both upstream operations (exploring for oil and extracting it) and downstream (refining petroleum into gas and producing other products from it).

    As oil prices rise, big oil companies earn higher revenues. And when oil prices drop, they still do well, because one of the major costs of their refining operations has fallen. (Lower prices are not always passed on to the consumer.) So if our predictions regarding oil are correct, you will make excellent returns from the majors. And if we are wrong and prices fall, you will have some downside protection. Big oil companies also offer excellent yields, typically twice that of the market.

    Of course, independent oil producers made higher gains than the majors in the 1970s, with an average real return for the decade of 205.1 percent. And they probably will again. One of the eading companies in this subsector is Devon Energy (DVN). As one of the most dynamic independent producers of both oil and natural gas, Devon will benefit from price increases in both commodities.

    Why Oil Service Companies Will Soar

    ...Wall street--fixated on the idea that oil prices are due to plunge--has not given them the respect they deserve. At some point, when Wall Street finally bows to reality, gains in oil service stocks will start to accelerate dramatically.

    How dramatically? To match gains in oil, the services stocks would have to climb more than 60 percent. That is if oil stays where it is. If, as we expect, oil continues to rise, the gains in oil services will be even greater.

    Chindia

    ...Five [Chindia--China and India] stocks we think will do extraordinarily well in the next few years are 3M (MMM), Coca Cola (KO), Intel (INTC), Proctor & Gamble (PG), and Texas Instruments (TXN). Each has already established a powerful beachead in Chindia. Each is a dominant company in its industry. And each has the financial, marketing, and distribution channels to support continued rapid growth.

    ...GE offers solid near-term growth that is likely to accelerate, perhaps sharply. With an unmatched combination of quality and growth, it is a one-of-a-kind company that represents one of the best chances we have of successfully negotiating one of the most difficult periods we are likely to face.

    Capitalizing on Liquefied Natural Gas

    The alternative energy source that could make the most immediate contribution to energy supplies is liquefied natural gas (LNG). When natural gas is liquefied, importing it becomes a lot more feasible. We estimate that over the next fifteen years it could add the equivalent of 5 to 6 million bpd (barrels of oil per day) to the world's energy supply. Much of this supply will compensate for falling natural gas production.

    ...LNG will not solve our energy needs but will be a critical supplement. The development process will require perhaps $50 billion to $100 billion in expenditures, on everything from liquefaction processes to terminal construction. Many companies will win big.

    General Electric, for example, is in the forefront in turbomachinery, products vital to the liquefied gas industry, as well as in the storage and transmission of energy sources such as natural gas. Two other companies we like are Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI) and Air Products and Chemicals.

    Based in the Netherlands, Chicago Bridge & Iron is the engineering and construction firm most leveraged to the world's growing need for new energy supplies. About 80 percent of its business is concentrated within the energy sector. The company's expertise ranges from building LNG terminals to constructing new refineries and retrofitting older ones.

    Chicago Bridge & Iron's backlog, revenues, and profits are expanding by about 30 percent a year, mostly from its North American operations. Recently, though, the company has established a position in China, which could further accelerate its already torrid growth. In that event, our long-term estimates of 20 percent annual growth for the company could well prove conservative.

    Air Products and Chemicals (APD) is best known as a supplier of industrial, medical, and specialty gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, argon, hydrogen, and helium, and of chemicals such as performance polymers, additives for coatings, lubricants, and corrosion inhibitors. However, it also has a thriving equipment business serving the chemical process, electronics, basic steel, oil, power generation, food, and institutional health care industies. This is the group that will drive the company's growth in the years ahead.

    Specifically, Air Products makes heat exchangers used in converting natural gas into a liquefied form that can be stored and shipped....

    If you had to put all your money on just one oil service company, we would recommend Schlumberger (SLB), the hands-down leader in well discovery and management and seismic services. Its clear technological edge is reflected in profit margins far higher than those of its competitors.

    Other Alternatives

    Emerging economies like China and India have little choice but to increase their reliance on nuclear energy, sharply boosting Uranium demand. The world's only significant uranium producer is Canada-based Cameco. It stands to benefit from both this tighter market and its own aggressive expansion plans. Trading at nearly twenty times forward earnings, the stock is not cheap for a mine. However, it is cheap for a company likely to grow by better than 20 percent a year for the next five years.

    Copyright © 2006 by Stephen Leeb

    To read the first chapter of The Coming Economic Collapse, go to TWBookMark.com

    Saving on Gas: At the Pumps and On the Road...

    Gas_prices_3

    In recent weeks, there's been yet another spike in gasoline prices. As gasoline prices increase, arriving at the pumps with an understanding of how the system works and how to conserve gasoline through our own best practices can contribute to substantial savings at the pump and beyond. Here are some of the best tips on saving gasoline now....

    (My emphasis added).

    Smart_money_logoWhat Gas Stations Won't Tell You

    By Jim Rendon
    July 11, 2006

    Old_pump1. "Good luck finding the best deal."
    With gas prices hovering at around $3 a gallon since spring, consumers are getting desperate. Some have cut back on driving; others have swapped their gas guzzlers for economy cars. And everyone is shopping around for the cheapest gas. The problem is, drivers often don't know where to find the best deal from day to day. Most stations are branded — meaning the name of a major oil company hangs out front — and must buy gas from their proprietary company. They can't shop around. With a lock on sales, the oil companies charge each station a different price depending on various factors, such as the station's competition and its location. That means a station can pay as much as 46 cents a gallon more than one down the street, and that cost gets passed along to you. Faced with such instability, Gainesville, Fla., resident Steven King plans ahead: "If I know I'm going out of town, I try not to buy gas so I can fill up after I leave." King says he can save 10 cents a gallon by purchasing gas on the road. You'd be similarly wise to shop around — with prices constantly in motion, the cheapest gas may not be at the same station every time.

    Gas_station2. "I hate high gas prices too."
    Stations earn on average between 10 and 15 cents on a gallon of gas. Ironically, they earn the least when prices are highest. As fuel climbs, gas stations must shrink their profit margin to remain competitive, meaning they earn less per gallon than usual. But another big cost during tough times is something they can't do anything about — credit card fees, which add up to about 2.5% of all purchases. When gas is at, say, $2 a gallon, the station pays credit card companies 5 cents a gallon; when gas hits $3, that fee becomes 7.5 cents — more than half the station's entire average profit. Last year gas stations' revenue from fuel grew 25%, while the fees they paid to credit card issuers jumped 40%, to $5.3 billion. "Those credit card fees are miserable for the gas station business," says Mohsen Arabshahi, who owns five Southern California gas stations. How do station owners make up for lost revenue? "Prices go up like a rocket and come down like a feather," says Richard Gilbert, a professor of economics at UC Berkeley. For several weeks after wholesale prices drop, stations can earn as much as 20 cents a gallon before retail prices are lowered to reflect the change.

    Preston_museum3. "My gas isn't better for your car; it's just more expensive."
    Oil companies spend lots of money explaining why their gas is better than the competition's. Chevron's gas, for example, is fortified with "Techron," and Amoco Ultimate is supposed to save the planet along with your engine. But today more than ever, one gallon of gas is as good as the next. True, additives help to clean your engine, but what the companies don't tell you is that all gas does so. Since 1994 the government has required that detergents be added to all gasoline to help prevent fuel injectors from clogging. State and local regulators keep a close watch to make sure those standards are met; in Florida inspectors checked 45,000 samples last year to ensure the state's gas supply was up to snuff, and 99% of the time it was. "There's little difference between brand-name gas and any other," says AAA spokesperson Geoff Sundstrom.

    What's more, your local Chevron station may sell gas refined by Shell or Exxon Mobil. Suppliers share pipelines, so they all use the same fuel. And the difference between the most expensive brand-name gas and the lowliest gallon of no-brand fuel? Often just a quart of detergent added to an 8,000-gallon tanker truck.

    4. "If you're smart, you'll put that debit card away..."
    Your debit card might be a convenient way to pay for gas, but it's a no-win proposition. When you swipe a debit card at the pump, the bank doesn't know how much money you'll be spending until you've finished pumping. So to make sure you have the funds to cover the purchase, some stations ask banks to automatically set aside some of your money: That amount used to be $20, but with gas prices going up, stations have started asking banks to hold $50, even $100. That means even if you just topped off your tank for $10, you could be out $100 until the station sends over its bulk transactions, which can take up to three days. If your funds are running low, you might end up bouncing a check in the meantime — even though you had the money in your account. Unfortunately, paying inside with your debit card isn't much of a solution either. Many banks charge their customers between 50 cents and $1 for the privilege of using their debit card in any PIN-based transaction. The American Bankers Association estimates only 13% of consumers pay these fees, but critics say the practice is on the rise and consumers are often unaware of these charges.

    Card5. "...and don't even consider applying for our gas card."
    When it comes to gasoline credit cards, a little research goes a long way. The good deals are great, but the bad deals are really bad. Similar to store cards issued through retailers, gas cards are riddled with drawbacks, says Curtis Arnold, founder of CardRatings.com. APRs are high, starting above 20%; many don't offer rebates on gas purchases; and they often lack standard protections such as fraud monitoring and zero liability for unauthorized transactions. What about a Visa or MasterCard affiliated with a gasoline brand like Exxon or BP? They often offer lower interest rates and significant rebates, but limit your ability to shop around. In December 2005, a few months after gas hit $3 a gallon, Justin Andringa of Minneapolis considered a Shell MasterCard with a 15% rebate on gas purchases. But the rebate was temporary; he decided to stick with his Citibank Dividend Platinum Plus card, which gives him a 5% rebate on all gas purchases no matter where he buys it. "I'm a college student," Andringa says. "I need to save money." The deals on these cards are constantly changing. So visit CardRatings.com to find updated information.

    6. "Looking for the cheapest gas in town? Try the Internet."
    You can't actually buy gas online, but Web resources can help you find the cheapest fill-up in town. Rising prices have sparked a whole network of sites that post and continually update gas prices at stations across the country. Among them, GasPriceWatch.com and Gaswatch.info help people track pump prices. But the most comprehensive of the bunch is GasBuddy.com, which includes a network of 174 local sites, complete with maps and message boards, that tally gas price by zip code. "People are frustrated by the variation in the price of gas," says GasBuddy.com cofounder Jason Toews, and they're using the Internet to take control. It has worked wonders for Sue Foust. Every day, as she passes roughly 10 stations on her commute across Tucson, Foust makes a mental note of their prices, then posts them on TucsonGasPrices.com, a local affiliate of GasBuddy.com. Then every four days or so, when she needs to fill up, she checks the prices others have posted in her area. It turned out the Shell station she used to frequent is one of the most expensive in the city. Now she fills up elsewhere. "I really do feel like I'm saving money," she says.

    Gasstationsfirst_born7. "It's a gallon when I say it's a gallon."
    It's hard to know if you're getting all the gas you paid for at the pump. But in some places there's a very good chance you're not. The state or county weights-and-measures department usually checks pumps for accuracy, but in some areas it can be years between inspections. Arizona, for example, has only 18 staff members to check the state's 2,300 stations. That means stations there can expect a visit once every three to four years, according to Steve Meissner, an Arizona Department of Weights and Measures spokesperson. Last year 30% of the more than 2,000 complaints the department received were valid, and it levied $167,000 in fines. The good news is that it's often easy to catch the most common problem: Older pumps in poor repair may begin charging you for gas before you've pumped it. Check the meter to make sure it registers $0.00 before you begin and doesn't start charging you before the fuel is flowing.

    8. "I might gouge you on a soda, but my coffee's a bargain."
    With margins on gas taking a hit, stations are increasingly looking to their convenience stores for income. In 2005 gross margins for in-store sales were 30%, while the margin on fuel was 7.2%, according to the National Association of Convenience Stores. Given the stats, you'd assume the average Kwik-E-Mart to be a terrible place to buy just about anything. But that's only partially true. Stock that usually sits on the shelf does tend to be vastly overpriced, so if you forgot ketchup on the way to a barbecue, you can bet you'll pay a lot more for it at a gas station than you would at a supermarket, says David Bishop, director of convenience retailing for Bishop Consulting. What about popular beverages? You'll pay more for a 20-ounce soda at a gas station than you would for a 2-liter bottle in a supermarket; the average price for a liter of water at pumpside marts in 2005 was $1.24, a markup of 55% over wholesale; and energy drinks cost 50% over wholesale, according to Bishop. But there are bargains to be had: Some high-volume goods, such as cigarettes and beer, are often competitively priced at gas stations. And a cup of coffee goes for a fraction of what you'd pay at Starbucks.

    Gasprices019. "If you're having car trouble, you're in the wrong place."
    The days of the local gas station staffed with a skilled mechanic have all but come to an end. Station owners are swapping car lifts for beverage cases and car washes, anything that brings in a high-volume stream of income and traffic, says Dennis DeCota, executive director of the California Service Station and Automotive Repair Association. The more people who pull over for a soda, the greater the chance they'll top off their tank and vice versa, the thinking goes. Few owners want the hassle of a business like car repair even if it earns the same amount of money as a convenience store. In addition, repairing cars is increasingly expensive, and the ill will and potential liability from a fix-it job gone wrong are more of a headache than many owners are willing to risk. Today a service station can require $100,000 worth of diagnostic equipment, a significant investment. It's a risky venture with little payoff, says Southern California station owner Arabshahi. In fact, Arabshahi removed the service station from one of his locations after he bought it. "I don't have a service station because I am not a mechanic," he says. "If he messes up a job, then it's my name on there."

    Biofuel10. "You don't even need gas to run your car."
    Cars run on gasoline — but not all cars need gasoline to run. In fact, 6 million cars on the road today (mostly from U.S. manufacturers and built since 1998) are "flexible fuel" vehicles that can run on E85, a new fuel that is 85% ethanol and only 15% gas. Though E85 is currently available only at 710 stations, it's expected to show up at 2,000 stations by the end of the year, thanks in part to state and federal tax credits. When Minneapolis resident John Schafer bought a car in late 2001, he chose a Chevy Tahoe because it's a flexible-fuel car. Since then he's filled up almost exclusively with E85. Gas_saving_carThe big difference he's noticed: Cars using E85 get about 15% fewer miles to the gallon. But it's a drawback he's willing to put up with. "I'm committed to the technology," Schafer says. "With E85, it burns cleaner so it won't pollute as much." While E85 generally costs less than regular gas, there is some concern that it may grow prohibitively expensive this summer, when demand is predicted to outpace supply: This year ethanol will be used not only in E85, but it will also compose 15% of every gallon of gas sold. Supplies of ethanol are likely to grow thin, which could drive up the prices of both normal gasoline and E85. And even die-hard Schafer says he won't buy E85 if it starts to cost more than gasoline.


    Here are some excellent gas-saving tips from SheKnows.com and beststuff.com:

    Traffic1. Drive smart: Aggressive driving (meaning quick acceleration, hard braking and speeding) wastes gas. In fact, it can lower your gas mileage by 33 percent at highway speeds, and by five percent on the city streets.

    2. Choose wisely: Don't assume that neighboring gas stations will have the same prices -- check around. Also note that gas stations near freeways and popularly-traveled roads, as well as those in high-income areas, will charge more.

    Beating_gas_prices
    3. Just park it: Don't circle the lot hoping for a great parking space. Take the shortest route to a free space and walk from there. Circling doesn't just waste gas, but is usually ultimately slower than simply parking somewhere a little less convenient and walking.

    4. Get pumped up: Keep your tires properly inflated and aligned to increase gas mileage by up to three percent. Under-inflated tires can lower gas mileage by nearly half a percent for every 1 psi drop in pressure of all four tires. Properly inflated tires are also safer and last longer.

    5. Be cool: If you're hot, don't open the windows -- they increase drag and decrease gas mileage, especially at highway speeds. Ultimately, using the air conditioner is cheaper to run, though you should try to minimize your use of the AC. When you can, use the vents to bring in outside air.

    6. Go the speed limit: Gas mileage decreases rapidly at speeds above 60 mph. Each 5 mph you drive over 60 mph is like paying an additional 15 to 20 cents per gallon of gas. Is it worth it?

    Locking_gas_cap7. Lock it up: If your tank isn't secured, get a locking gas cap. With prices so high, you're more of a target for siphoners if you're not locked up tight. Locking gas caps are available at most auto parts stores.

    8. Stay in tune: Fixing a car that is out of tune or has failed an emissions test can improve its gas mileage by an average of about four percent (though your results will vary based on the kind of repair, and how well the job is done).

    9. Close the gate: It's an urban myth that driving a pickup truck with the tailgate down will get better mileage by decreasing wind resistance. In fact, a study published by the National Research Council of Canada says that despite what you'd think, keeping it down (or using a mesh tailgate in its place) actually has the opposite effect. When the tailgate is up, a bubble of air forms in the truck bed, allowing air to flow more smoothly over and off the truck -- and without as much drag. (A tonneau cover works best of all.)

    Highway10. Re-think your route: Look into lesser-traveled routes where you can travel at a steady pace instead of joining in on rush hour traffic. (Your blood pressure will thank you for it, too.)

    11. Figure it out first: Check maps (especially those online) before you go to make sure you know how to get where you're doing. You'll avoid the hassle, time spent and gas used by getting lost -- or by having to pull over for directions.

    12. Lighten up: Avoid keeping unnecessary items in your vehicle, especially heavy ones. An extra 100 pounds of weight in your vehicle could reduce your MPG by up to two percent, which adds up over time!

    Roofrack13. Take it off the top: A loaded roof rack, or even an empty roof storage container, can decrease your fuel economy by five percent, due to wind resistance.

    14. Don't be idle: Idling gets 0 miles per gallon. Cars with larger engines typically waste more gas at idle than do cars with smaller engines. If you know you will have to wait more than one to two minutes, shut off your engine.

    Idle_115. Warm enough: When starting the engine, idle it no more than 30 seconds. Your engine will warm up faster on the road, and you won't be burning any more fuel than you need to.

    16. Hold on 'til they're ready: Don't start the car until everyone's in. Many people turn on the ignition, expecting the rest of the passengers to arrive momentarily... and sometimes that means a few minutes' wait, burning up gas (and creating toxic fumes in the immediate vicinity).

    17. Don't wait: Picking someone up? No sense sitting there idling. Call ahead so they're ready and waiting when you get there, or arrive a couple minutes after your scheduled meeting time.

    Tires18. Get pumped up: Pumped up: Keep your tires properly inflated and aligned to increase gas mileage by up to three percent. Under-inflated tires can lower gas mileage by nearly half a percent for every 1 psi drop in pressure of all four tires. Properly inflated tires are also safer and last longer.

    19. Snow's gone: Take off the snow tires if winter weather has passed. Driving on those deep tire treads means more rolling resistance.

    20. Time to buy: In general, gas prices are updated at around 10am. So if prices are going up, you might save by pumping a little earlier. According to gaspricewatch.com, you should expect a rise on Thursday mornings.

    21. Paying a premium: For most cars, the recommended gasoline is regular octane. In most cases, using a higher octane gas than the manufacturer recommends offers no particular benefit. Unless your engine is knocking, some experts say that buying higher octane gasoline is a waste of money.

    Pumphand22. Don't top it off: When the pump automatically clicks off, stop fueling. Any "extra" gas you can get will probably seep out.

    23. Put a lid on it: Your gas will evaporate right out of the tank if given the chance. So make sure you have a gas cap, and that it's tight and in good working condition.

    Cruise_control24. Go cruising: When traffic permits, using cruise control on the highway helps you maintain a constant speed, and, in most cases, will save gas.

    25. Get into overdrive: When you use overdrive gearing, your car's engine speed goes down. This saves gas and reduces engine wear.

    26. Oil is well: You can improve your gas mileage by one to two percent by using the manufacturer's recommended grade of motor oil. Look for oil that says "Energy Conserving" on the API performance symbol to ensure it contains friction-reducing additives.

    27. Don't be dirty: A dirty air filter can steal away nearly two miles per gallon -- and worn-out spark plugs can waste just as much from inefficient combustion.

    28. Let your car breathe right: If your car has a faulty oxygen sensor, your gas mileage may be decreased by as much as 40 percent.

    Public_transit
    29. Go with the flow: Consider using public transit -- buses, trains, trolleys. The American Public Transit Transportation Association has links to information about public transportation in your state.

    Another tip that I've heard that makes lots of sense is to fill your gas tank up to only half of its capacity. It substantially lessens the load your vehicle must carry and takes less energy (gasoline) for your engine to move you. The end result: improved mpg....

    Gas_price_cartoon

    Painting Source (#10): Highway, LJ Lindhurst

    March 06, 2007

    Warren Buffett on the Future of the Newspaper Industry, etc....

    Buffett1An interesting piece about Warren Buffett from this weekend's Washington Post....

    Wpdotcom_190x30_4Buffett Pessimistic About Newspapers

    By Frank Ahrens
    Washington Post Staff Writer
    Saturday, March 3, 2007; D05

    In his annual letter to his company's shareholders, Warren E. Buffett-- the world's second-richest person and the largest shareholder of The Washington Post Co. -- wrote that "fundamentals are definitely eroding in the newspaper industry" and warned that "the skid will almost certainly continue."

    Written in its typical folksy style, the letter is Buffett's 2006 overview of his company, Berkshire Hathaway, and its many holdings, which include Geico insurance, manufacturing units and utilities.

    The company reported a $17 billion gain in net worth -- 18 percent growth -- in 2006, largely because "Mother Nature, bless her heart, went on vacation," Buffett wrote. His insurance companies made huge payouts after the hurricanes of 2004 and 2005.

    Buffett often includes in his letters brief history lessons on his business segments. In addition to owning 18 percent of The Post Co. -- Buffett sits on the board -- Berkshire also owns the Buffalo News, and Buffett opined on the newspaper industry.

    "When Charlie [Munger, Berkshire Hathaway's vice chairman] and I were young, the newspaper business was as easy a way to make huge returns as existed in America," Buffett wrote in the letter, which was released Thursday.

    "As one not-too-bright publisher famously said, 'I owe my fortune to two great American institutions: monopoly and nepotism.' No paper in a one-paper city, however bad the product or however inept the management, could avoid gushing profits."

    As early as his 1991 letter to shareholders, Buffett recounted, he warned of looming problems in the industry: For the first time, he wrote then, newspapers no longer held a monopoly on news and information.

    In today's economy, Buffett wrote: "Simply put, if cable and satellite broadcasting, as well as the Internet, had come along first, newspapers as we know them probably would never have existed."

    Average daily newspaper circulation in the United States has declined each year since 1987. At The Post, print advertising revenue decreased 4 percent in 2006 from the year before.

    And for newspapers that have pinned their revenue hopes on their Web sites, Buffett had a sobering prediction: ". . . the economic potential of a newspaper Internet site -- given the many alternative sources of information and entertainment that are free and only a click away -- is at best a small fraction of that existing in the past for a print newspaper facing no competition."

    Buffett, in addition to his overview of the newspaper industry, touched on his potential successors. He said the Berkshire board had identified three candidates to replace him as chairman should he die suddenly. Buffett said Berkshire also needed candidates to take over his duties as chief investment officer of the company.

    Buffett wrote that he would look for a younger man or woman of sound temperament, who will stay at Berkshire for several years and who is "genetically programmed to recognize and avoid serious risks, including those never before encountered."

    In typical fashion, Buffett concluded: "The good news: At 76, I feel terrific and, according to all measurable indicators, am in excellent health. It's amazing what Cherry Coke and hamburgers will do for a fellow."

    Berkshire owns 8.6 percent of the Coca-Cola Co.

    March 04, 2007

    Antoine van Agtmael's Ten Investment Lessons

    Antoine_van_agtmael_1Here are the investment lessons from Antoine van Agtmael's superb book The Emerging Markets Century:

    1. Buy only stocks that are underrated rather than "hot," cheap, fast-growing, safe, or even world-class. Prejudice is an investor's best friend. Conventional wisdom often reflects lazy thinking.
    2. Always do your own research and dig deep.
    3. Distrust the "wisdom" of the markets.
    4. Use crises to get "in" and investment fashions to get "out."
    5. Be skeptical of proven success because it is quickly recognized by other investors and competitors.
    6. The greatest potential is in the next generation of world-class companies and their competitiveness really matters.
    7. The best insights come from unusual sources. When you hear from companies, read in newspapers, or are told by brokers is often already reflected in market prices.
    8. Spend more time studying economic and industry trends than reacting to events that--good or bad--are always overblown.
    9. Always write down why you made a decision to invest or sell. Later, take the time to look back at your notes and analyze why an investment really worked or didn't work.
    10. Look for unusual and unexpected South-South connections.

    March 02, 2007

    Fortune/Money Magazine: Start Late, Retire Rich

    Retired_couple_4

    Baby Boomers are now coming of retirement age. Many of us are asking whether we have amassed enough...whether we've made the right decisions...and whether it's too late to compensate for past decisions that perhaps weren't so financially wise at the time.... This article from Fortune and Money Magazine offers not only renewed hope, but some good courses of action to start late and retire rich. Below, I've included a few retirement calculators from Bloomberg and MSN, an article from Kiplingers, and a book recommendation (along with a brief commercial/musical break) to further assist....

    Fortune_logo_blue_2Start Late, Retire Rich
    The 'R' moment looms closer than ever, but if you get serious now, you can still catch the magic bus.
    By Penelope Wang, Money Magazine senior writer


    Retire_richStatus Check: Tell it like it is
    You suspect that you don't have enough, but have you ever stopped to figure out how behind you are?
    "For God's sake, do a reality check," says Mari Adam, a financial planner in Boca Raton. "You may find you are doing better than you thought. If not, the sooner you find out, the easier it will be to catch up."

    Studies have shown that the very act of planning can improve the odds of financial success. Start by pulling together financial information: your latest 401(k) and bank statements, your estimated Social Security benefit (visit ssa.gov) and your projected pension payout if you're fortunate enough to have one. (Ask your benefits office to run the numbers.)

    Then go online to a retirement calculator, such as Fidelity's Retirement Quick Check, which will tell you how much you need to put away each month to give you the retirement income you'll need.

    Or you could consult a fee-only financial adviser. (Get referrals at garrettplanningnetwork .com or use the search tool at fpanet.org.) You can also get a rough idea of how much you'll need by checking "Are You on the Bus?" below.

    If the numbers look scary, remember, you don't have to stash away whopping sums all at once. And you can continue to work beyond retirement age. But you do have to get moving.

    RetirerichSave more

    And now for a little joy.

    Last year's Pension Protection Act continued the high contribution levels allowed in tax-advantaged accounts, such as 401(k)s and IRAs. So you can stash away a maximum of $15,500 in your 401(k) this year. (For regulatory reasons, your plan may set lower limits.) And most employers make matching contributions, typically 50% of up to 6% of salary. That's free money you shouldn't pass up.

    You can also save as much as $4,000 in an IRA. And if you are 50 or older, you can make catch-up contributions as well - this year an additional $1,000 in an IRA and another $5,000 in your 401(k).

    Even if you do all that, you may not come close to having as much as you need.

    So to avoid spending your golden years in Junior's guest bedroom, you'll have to put money in taxable accounts too.

    Choose tax-efficient investments, such as index funds or tax-managed funds, whose buy-and-hold strategies minimize short-term capital gains and interest income.

    To come up with those extra savings, you'll have to liberate more cash from expenditures. You can start gradually, by resolving to live on less, say, for a three-month trial. Perhaps you can hold off on a new car for a few more years and vacation in St. Paul instead of St. Martin.

    Either you learn to embrace the rather unappealing idea that you must curb your spending, or you can have money automatically withdrawn from your pay and plunked in savings before you ever see it.

    "People usually find that they adjust their spending to the cash flow they have," says Adam. "The inconveniences are outweighed by how good you feel that you are on track to a secure retirement."

    RetirementGet the right allocation

    All too often, left-behind savers try to ramp up their funds by plowing a lot more money into stocks. That's not a great idea.

    Researchers at T. Rowe Price assessed how shifting from a relatively modest 40 percent stock allocation to a go-for-broke 80 percent stake would affect the prospects of a catch-up saver, someone 55 years old earning $100,000 with $150,000 in savings.

    After running thousands of market simulations, they found the larger stock allocation wasn't worth the bumpier ride. The 40 percent stock portfolio replaced only 27 percent of pre-retirement income, while the 80% portfolio replaced an almost identical 28 percent on average.

    The reason: Though stocks historically deliver higher average returns over the long run, over any 10-year period you are more likely to endure some losing years, and there is less time for your gains to compound.

    You could luck out and enjoy outsize returns, but the odds say you won't. "By the time you reach your fifties, the game is pretty much over," says Christine Fahlund, senior financial planner at T. Rowe Price. "And by loading up on equities, you may end up ratcheting up risk without significantly increasing your nest egg."

    Instead of betting the farm on stock, you should create a well-diversified mix of U.S. and foreign stocks, bonds and other assets. One solution: a target-date retirement fund, a fund of funds that automatically shifts allocations to become more conservative as you approach retirement. (Both the Vanguard and T. Rowe Price series of target funds made our Money 70 list of recommended funds.)

    Or you can build your own customized mix by using the Asset Allocator.

    And to prevent a last-minute retirement disaster, lighten up on company stock in your 401(k). If your employer runs into trouble, you could see your stock crash and lose your job too, as Enron employees did. That's why many financial advisers recommend keeping no more than 5% to 10% of your portfolio in company stock.

    Until recently some employers required you to hang onto your shares. But under the Pension Protection Act, companies must now permit 401(k) participants to diversify out of employer-contributed stock, typically over a three-year period. Be sure you do.

    RetireGet the right funds

    One of the simplest ways to boost your retirement savings is to lower your investment costs. Research has repeatedly shown that funds with high expense ratios tend to under-perform their cheaper siblings.
    That's because high fees are no guarantee of superior performance. In fact, they take a bite out of performance.

    So all things being equal, a lower-cost fund is more likely to give you a higher return without your taking any additional risk.

    For example, if you invest $100,000 in a fund with a 1.5% expense ratio (the average for U.S. stock funds) and the fund gains an annualized 8% over 15 years, you will end up with $317,000.

    If that same fund had an expense ratio of just 1%, you would earn an 8.5 percent return, which would produce $340,000, or $23,000 more.

    If you currently own funds with high expense ratios, consider swapping into low-cost substitutes. It's easy to make an exchange in a 401(k) or an IRA, since there are no tax consequences.

    In your taxable accounts, you'll need to weigh the possible tax bill before cashing out, but you can at least begin directing new money into lower-cost funds. Again, the funds on our Money 70 list all carry below-average expense ratios.

    Heidelberger_retirement_1Work longer

    If, after all this, you still can't afford your ideal retirement, you may have to redefine what you mean by ideal. Can't stop working by age 62? Postpone retirement to 65.

    In fact, Fahlund points out that by working longer, your employer underwrites your living expenses, including that ultra-expensive health insurance, while you continue to add to your savings.

    Moreover, you have that many fewer years in retirement to finance on your own.

    As the Center for Retirement Research found, by working for two or three more years, most Americans would substantially improve their retirement security.

    And if you combine a few more working years with catch-up saving, you can pump up your holdings.

    For many in the Big Chill generation, delaying retirement is not necessarily a hardship; it may be a goal. "People are increasingly recognizing the psychological benefits of staying active and involved in work, whether on a full-time or part-time basis," says Art Koff, author of "Invent Your Retirement."

    "Stopping work at 62 doesn't fit reality," says Stephen Utkus, principal at Vanguard. "There's actually a transition period from your fifties to age 70, when people often work part time or full time, typically out of choice as much as financial need."

    Still, finding a satisfying postretirement career can be difficult. Many employers are reluctant to hire older workers, and for some boomers, bad health (or at the least, creaky knees) may be an obstacle. You'll have to consider - better now than later - whether you want to or can work full or part time.

    You'll also have to decide whether you can or want to continue what you already do or whether you'll need retraining or further schooling to qualify for your next career. "It's easiest to find work you like if you plan ahead while you are still in your regular job," says Koff.

    Check to see if your current employer offers flexible work arrangements that would allow you to continue on a part-time or consulting basis after your retirement date. If you want to start your own business, try it as a hobby now so you'll know whether you like it before you invest all your savings.

    As those now aging boomers once said (sang, actually): "You can't always get what you want, but if you try sometimes you just might find you get what you need."

    And so it goes with retirement. It may not be the idyll you once imagined, but by getting serious now, you should have enough to let the good times roll.

    Retirement Calculators:

    Bloomberg's Retirement Calculator

    MSN Money's Retirement Calculator

    Here's another article from Kiplingers that is also excellent: A Late Bloomer's Guide to Saving

    Looking_forwardOne of the better books that I've found that's tailored to Baby Boomers on this subject is Ellen Freudenheim's Looking Forward: An Optimist's Guide to Retirement

    Looking_forward_illustration